U.S. Median Household Income In 2018 Sets Another Record

It’s that time of year, the Census Bureau just released the official income statistics for 2018 a few weeks back.  In 2018 the median household income in America was $63,200, the highest figure ever.  From 2017 to 2018, inflation-adjusted median household incomes grew in 33 states and the District of Columbia.

And there’s more good news.  As this Washington Examiner story reports:

“The official poverty rate also reached its lowest level since at least 2001, dropping to 11.8% of Americans, or 38.1 million people who are in poverty, according to the Census Bureau measurements. The number of people in poverty in 2018 decreased by 1.4 million people from 2017 levels.” 

All of this great news wasn’t covered much in the media.  I suspect it’s because the data and facts continue to fly in the face of the big-media message that middle class incomes are “stagnant”. 

I’ve posted about that before, showing that median incomes in America have beat inflation handily dating back to 1984.  And my friend Zach at Four Pillar Freedom also posted about it, challenging this constant media message.  Some in the big media, thankfully, are trying to paint a more balanced picture.

 

The Data

As Accidental FIRE fans expect, I mapped out the median household income data in my nifty map flux capacitor machine.  So here you are (click for larger version):

 

Median Household Incomes In 2018 Set Another Record

 

My post from last year shows the data and map from 2017.  Of note, Hawaii joined the $80,000 club making it three states and the District of Columbia in that category.  And of course the northeast, or brunch belt as I call it, continues to thrive.  

In and of itself it’s hard to see which direction things are going for each state.  So I also calculated the percent change from 2017 to 2018 and mapped that as well (click for larger version).

 

Median Household Incomes In 2018 Set Another Record

 

The three states with the highest percentage increase from 2017 (inflation adjusted) are:

  • Idaho:  3.9%
  • Vermont:  3.2%
  • Florida:  2.9%

The three states with the highest percentage decline from 2017 (inflation adjusted) are:

  • Maine:  -3.6%
  • Nebraska:  -3.0%
  • South Dakota:  -2.8%

 

Other Metrics

The Census Bureau’s report also mentioned these metrics:

  • Real median household income in the United States increased 0.8% between 2017 and 2018.
  • The 2018 median household income was the highest measured by the American Community Survey.
  • Median household income in 29 states and Puerto Rico was lower than the U.S. median. It was higher than the U.S. median in 18 states and the District of Columbia. 
  • Median household income increased in 10 of the 25 most populous metropolitan areas between 2017 and 2018.  None of those 25 metropolitan areas experienced a statistically significant decrease.
  • From 2017 to 2018, the poverty rate declined in 14 states and Puerto Rico. In 2018, the poverty rate increased in only one state: Connecticut. 
  • California, Florida, Georgia and North Carolina had declining poverty rates for the fifth year in a row. In three states (Arizona, Illinois and New York), poverty declined for a fourth consecutive year. 
  • For the fourth year in a row, the percentage of people in poverty decreased in the three most populous metropolitan areas: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA Metro Area; Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA Metro Area; and Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI Metro Area.

 

In Conclusion

Economists on both sides of the argument as to whether middle class incomes are stagnant have been accused of cherry picking their data.  Fair enough. 

But what none of them seem to talk about is that the middle class is living better than ever in 2019.  Twenty years ago the middle class didn’t have tablets and smartphones, and all sorts of other convenience items that weren’t even dreamed up. 

Additionally, the average house size was way smaller, but families were bigger.  So even if you prescribe to the notion that middle class wages are stagnant, it’s hard to argue against the reality that the middle class is living better than ever on that wage.

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Dave @ Accidental FIRE

I reached financial independence and semi-retired in my mid-40's through hard work, smart living, and investing. This blog chronicles my journey and explores many aspects of personal finance including the psychological and behavioral factors that drive our habits.

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27 Responses

  1. xrayvsn says:

    Another cool data post and great point on how it flies against what is told by the media who seem to have their own agenda to push.

    It would be interesting to see how the median wage change in each state compares to the cost of living change.

  2. Mr. Tako says:

    Uh-oh! I better make sure my passive income keeps up with median income!

  3. i would rather see wages keep up with earnings or productivity, but you can live pretty well on that median income. there’s plenty of mental poverty going around still and that’s harder to solve. how do you use these resources? maybe i’ll get another hit of oxy before i get my next neck tattoo.

  4. Brunch belt haha, love that! It is interesting to see that the data doesn’t necessarily support the narrative portrayed by the media and agree that middle class living really ain’t so bad!

  5. Nice map, as usual. HI has a very high median income. That’s surprising. I thought they have more poverty. But I guess a lot of high income people live in HI.

  6. Mr. P2F says:

    Hey Dave, it’s amazing the amount of data that’s available to anyone through the US Census Bureau. I was just reviewing some similar data for a post I have on the back burner for now. You raise a valid argument that the talking points we see and hear are cherry picked to make their cases. Anyone wanting to validate or challenge that information can see and learn or themselves and draw their own conclusions. It just takes a curious mind!

    • Dave @ Accidental FIRE says:

      Government sites like The Census Bureau are a treasure trove, just not organized very well. But the data is there for the taking

  7. As always, great maps! I’ve had a difficult time believing the media’s persistent message that the middle class continues to experience stagnant growth in income for the very reasons you’ve listed, plus all the people throwing away $12 on a slice of avocado toast and a few $9 mimosas every weekend. You might serve as our new media source!

    • Dave @ Accidental FIRE says:

      $12 is high, I never pay more than $11 for a piece of bread and a dollop of avocado, out of principal.

      My blog as a media source? Some might think Turnip FIRE is supposed to be real, I’ll be the king of fake news!

  8. David Hurwitch says:

    Ok median family income is up about 5000.00 since President Trump took office. That’s great! Don’t get to carried away. Inflation is calculated different than in other countries and is understated. More importantly, GDP has gone up by 750% since 1980 but median family income, when adjusted for inflation has gone up 28 % through 2016. What’s happened since then does not change the result significantly. Those are the facts.

    • Dave @ Accidental FIRE says:

      As my post from last year details, incomes have been outpacing inflation by a lot since 1984. Now you can say that you don’t like the way inflation is calculated, and there are two main inflation measures as well, but unless you have another metric then there’s no way to run other numbers. We have the data standards and benchmarks that we have, and I’m simply showing the numbers. Thanks for the comment

  9. Abigail @ipickuppennies.net says:

    Remember that median income takes into account higher incomes as well. As best I understand it (and admittedly I haven’t done a ton of research) the issue is that the higher incomes are growing significantly, which skews “median”. When we talk about stagnant middle-class wages, we’re looking solely at middle-class incomes and those are what aren’t growing relative to inflation.

    Also, remember that median isn’t the same as mean. Median means that there are the exact same NUMBER of values/numbers on one side as the other. So that doesn’t necessarily equate to the average person’s salary being $63,000ish. If it does, then they’re misusing “median” and meaning “mean” (the average). That or we may not truly understand what “median” represents because to me that would just mean a single value in a set of answers, which doesn’t necessarily represent the average person’s experience (without knowing some of the values on either side of that median).

    Again, I haven’t made a study of this, but I think that this information doesn’t necessarily refute the idea that middle class wages are stagnating. I think it’s just one more way of looking at the numbers and extrapolating what we want from them. Lies, damn lies and statistics, right?

    • Dave @ Accidental FIRE says:

      I’m not quite following your statement Abigail, medium by its very nature means the middle. The mean gets skewed by very high incomes, in other words you can have very few people making a super high income and skew the mean for thousands of others. But that will not skew the median. The median has equal numbers on both sides as you say. So Jeff Bezos can have 80 trillion dollars, and he will not skew the median, but he will skew the mean. I think we’re kind of saying the same thing, it just gets confusing to type it out. As I mentioned in the post, there’s arguments to be made on both sides, but when you just run the raw numbers, incomes have beat inflation over time. And additionally, as I commented, middle-class people now have smartphones and tablets and flat screen TVs, and usually more than one. Things we didn’t have back in the day. In addition to things like air conditioning which is now ubiquitous, that wasn’t the case just 30 years ago.

      • My wife (stat teacher) would have us busting out standard deviation and interquartile ranges here. A that point, I usually reach for a nice craft brew. Speaking of which, that is something else that seems readily available in most local markets these days but we didn’t have much access to back in the day.

        Max

  10. Tim Cronin says:

    2 questions: What’s the DTI comparison, historically? And how are the homeless accounted for in these data?

    • Dave @ Accidental FIRE says:

      I found this DTI map but the income data doesn’t take that into account. As far as homeless, the Census Bureau site doesn’t address that issue at all so I have no clue how or if it’s accounted for.

  11. Sounds like people are trying to make this a political thing. Face it people….we are better off financially now then 5 years ago, then 10 years ago. It just matters what you do with the money.

  12. Dumb Wealth says:

    Great – the job market appears strong. So why does it feel like we’re celebrating on the eve of the Titanic’s maiden voyage?

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