Oil Prices And Your Money

Oil prices have soared in recent weeks putting gas prices at near record highs in the U.S.  America is a very car-obsessed and car-dependent country so gas prices are what’s in the news.  But don’t think that rising oil prices will only affect you at the gas pump. 

Tons of things we all use every day as this article details are literally either made of oil or depend heavily on oil for their manufacturing. 

But it all comes back to gas for most.  Despite the fact that over 40,000 Americans die by car every year – well over 100 people per day – cars are worshipped by a large portion of the population and permeate all aspects of our popular culture. 

The average American drives a jaw-dropping 14,000 miles per year, so gas prices are what’s on people’s mind because they burn a shit-ton of it everyday. 

Being that I barely drive and don’t burn much gas myself I wouldn’t consider myself the best person to dish out advice about saving money on gas, aside from the obvious advice to drive less and walk or bike more.  But I blog to help people with money and I’m here to contribute.

 

Some Tools

This AAA site with an interactive map does a good job of showing the general picture of gas prices across America including state averages and the national average. 

 

If you are taking any road trips or if you got on the RV bandwagon during covid like thousands of others, you need to be aware of price variances by geography.  RV’s and sprinter vans get horrible gas mileage so filling up strategically in cheaper places can literally save you hundreds of dollars. 

Another great tool if you drive a lot is the app Gasbuddy.  The app searches for the cheapest prices near you and also has it’s own gas card and reward system.  Full disclosure – I’ve never used it and am not affiliated with them in any way but online reviews seem mostly positive. 

As you probably know most of the major oil companies have their own credit cards and reward systems.  Again, being that I ride my bike way more than I drive I’m not the person to recommend any in particular but if you spend a lot on gas it’s probably in your best interest to check out sites like Nerdwallet who compare those sorts of things. 

And if you happen to be in the market to buy a car, this list from Car & Driver of the most fuel efficient gas burners might be of help.  Or you could get a hybrid or fully electric vehicle.  Regardless of what you get, remember that savvy financial people buy used.

 

Third Order Effects

Now onto the more difficult truths.  Most things are going to get more expensive.  Inflation in America crested 7.5% recently and many “experts” had already predicted it to rise over 8% this year – before the war in Ukraine started and the oil price spike. 

Now that 8% number looks more assured. 

That banana you enjoyed this morning from Ecuador doesn’t get here by teleportation.  If you’re like many Americans you have no idea where Ecuador even is.  Having been there I can assure you it’s far.  And transporting that banana takes oil, lots of it. 

Aside from the transportation of goods issue in a global economy, so many things are literally made with oil or petroleum derivatives.  Here’s just a partial list of 144 of the more common ones.  I’m 100% sure you used something on this list today.

 

Yeah, guilty as charged.  I got this list from here, and as they explain that’s just 144 taken from over 6000 items.  Are all of these items going to increase in price because of rising oil prices? 

I can’t say, but being that inflation was already raging before the oil price spike many probably already have increased over the last year.  And it’s more likely they will now. 

This FAQ page from the U.S. Department of Energy is a great read to learn about many aspects of oil and petroleum in the U.S.

 

My Dilemma

I’m now going to be selfish and explain a dilemma these rising oil prices have put me in.  The current tires on my Subaru Outback still have about 5,000 – 7,000 miles left on them according to my mechanic and pass inspection, but are getting close to end of life. 

I drove a meager 1671 miles in 2020 and 2147 miles in 2021.  So at that rate I should be able to get another 2 years out of my tires, but I plan to do more road tripping this year and in the future.  And my current tires are more vulnerable to getting a flat, plain and simple. 

Tires are largely made of oil, and the increased prices are probably not fully reflected yet, but they’re coming.  Right now the cost for all 4 tires will be approximately $1,000.  I fear if I wait it might be more like $1,500 and might never come down. 

But at the same time the frugal freak in me who hates waste abhors the thought of replacing the tires while they still have good life left in them.  That to me seems just, well, wasteful.

So savvy financial warriors, what would you do in my situation?

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Dave @ Accidental FIRE

I reached financial independence and semi-retired in my mid-40's through hard work, smart living, and investing. This blog chronicles my journey and explores many aspects of personal finance including the psychological and behavioral factors that drive our habits.

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28 Responses

  1. Finanzasta says:

    Every once in a while I like to do a driving safety training to practice emergency braking, steering on wet surface and other fun situations. Last time our instructor showed us the different braking distances between tires with
    minimum safe tire tread and new tires.

    The difference was about 8 meters (26 feet for you non Europeans). And this was not even going fast. The faster you drive, the longer the braking distance. As people who know physics have told me.

    It was really eye opening for me to actually see the different braking distances live while watching from the side line. So now I get new tires even when the tread is not yet at the allowed minimum. It might be the difference between a fatal or non fatal crash.

    https://tiresvote.com/articles/what-minimum-safe-tread-depth/

    • w says:

      Another thing to consider is age vs miles. Depending on weather and storage conditions, your tires may start to crack and fail due to age related material degradation vs wear due to miles, especially if you aren’t driving much.

      • Dave @ Accidental FIRE says:

        Yes, the mechanic said they looked good in that aspect but are still getting geriatric 🙂

    • Dave @ Accidental FIRE says:

      I had not considered this aspect so thanks for the comment and link, good food for thought

  2. Karen says:

    Do you have room to buy them now and store them until you need them? When I drove a car that used small tires, I kept an extra one at my house because tire places didn’t stock them and it could take a week for them to get one. If one of my tires suffered irreparable damage, I could show up at the shop with my extra full-size tire for immediate installation instead of driving on the small spare for an extended duration.

    • Dave @ Accidental FIRE says:

      I had thought of this but it seems most shops will not put on tires unless you buy them from the shop. I think it’s a liability thing, thanks for the comment Karen!

  3. Great research Dave! This should give us more of a reason to think about renewable energy in our global supply chain transportation system.

  4. Wade says:

    on the tires, could you buy from Tirerack and have them shipped to your house, then take them to an independent mechanic to have them mounted when ur ready? I know the chain tire places won’t mount tires they don’t sell, but many independent mechanics would if you can show you bought them from a reputable dealer which Tirerack is.

    • Dave @ Accidental FIRE says:

      I had never heard of Tirerack so thanks for this. I’m considering it but finding a shop that would do it might be hard. Thanks again!

  5. well, you can just burn the old tires out in the woods next to the keg like the old days. we bought a set of tires for our reasonably sized car last year and they were about a grand. i still remember buying used tired from the junkyard when money was tight back in the 80’s. i can’t remember how i ever got them mounted.

    the whole oil thing crack me up to a degree. plenty of people raging about fossil fuels could not or would not live without their plastic i-phone. well, we could just refine the little cuts from the oil to make iphones and messenger bags but what to do with the rest of the barrel? call me when apple invents a farm-to-table phone.

    • Dave @ Accidental FIRE says:

      Haha, if you don’t know there’s a cool alt-country band called Backyard Tire Fire, they’re pretty good too. We had some of those in the Balto area for sure. And I call it “selective outrage”, when the loud social media types start bullying and mouthing off to others and they’re doing it from their iPhone made in a facility in Chain that basically uses slave labor and has literal nets around it because so many jump out the widows and kill themselves. And oh yeah the phone is full of conflict minerals too taken from poor countries with more slave labor. That’s why these loud hypocrites should just shut up – we’re ALL guilty of participating in the economy of bad things including oil, plastics, and so on, there’s no way around it. So it’s best to keep off a high horse.

  6. mnadeem says:

    yeah, if you have space, take them back and try to sell them on craigs or FB. Im sure you can get more than the $2 fee the tire places take for recycling the tires. Take them home and make planters out of them, color them any color and they last for ever.

    • Dave @ Accidental FIRE says:

      I never thought of the planter idea. I do have an old one that I use for tire drag sessions at the park for a workout. Thanks!

  7. RE@54 says:

    Get the tires and be done with it. No more worrying about the cost of the tires and your tires are worn down already. Isn’t that the advantage of being FI? Now you can go on road trip anytime and not have to worry about getting them replaced before the road trip.

  8. You gotta bite the bullet and do the tires. I barely drive as well and just spent $1100 this fall on new tires, it is the one aspect I don’t mess with on the car with our very wet and sometimes icy west coast. Plus I don’t want a flat stranded on a mountain logging road driving to a backpack or climb trip. Being my vehicle has been paid of for 8 years (much like you) it doesn’t hurt my frugal mindset as much when I need to spend the money. I have 268,000km on my used SUV and the only reason I trust it is because I spare no expenses on the maintenance. (much like we do on our bikes).

    Have a great year and also, if you haven’t had a chance start watching the “Not Just Bikes” youtube channel and listen to the “War on Cars” podcast.

    Happy cycling

    • Dave @ Accidental FIRE says:

      Yeah I’m leaning that way Chris, I love the input from my readers and I think you hit it on the head here. If I go on an adventure I wanna be in a 100% worry-free state of mind. And I’ve been a longtime listener to War on Cars but had not heard of the YouTube channel, will check it out thanks!

  9. Artificial limbs? OMG, it really does cost an arm and a leg!

    • Dave @ Accidental FIRE says:

      Susan!! You need to start your blog up again, we miss your musings and stories!! Hope you are well!

  10. I’m with the others here. Bite the bullet and get the new tires. Can’t put a price on the safety. I’ll (unfortunately) probably be following suit shortly 😞

    It never fails to blow my mind how many everyday items are made from oil and the refining process. We are way more dependent than many people think!

  11. Steve says:

    Car companies and tire manufacturers, if they make a reco (many do not), suggest that tire life is 6-10 years from date of manufacture, assuming tread is still adequate. Sun exposure and heat can reduce tire life. If your tires are 6+ years old, all the more reason to replace them sooner. Tirerack generally has good prices and you can schedule local installation when you checkout on their website. Install cost varies wildly: $90-400 near me.

    • Dave @ Accidental FIRE says:

      They’re about 6 and a half years old, and I don’t drive much as mentioned but I’m leaning towards getting new ones. Everyone reccos tirerack so I’m definitely going to check them out – thanks!

  12. Mr. Tako says:

    Wait until your tires are completely worn out. Then buy new ones. High oil prices won’t last forever. Domestically we have a TON of capacity that is under utilized. (Oil pipelines in the U.S. are only operating about half full) Why? Prices have been too low in the recent past.

    However, that extra capacity can’t be turned on like a switch. It takes weeks and months to get production going again. Prices will come back down, but it will take some time. Time that you still have on those tires.

  13. Mr Fate says:

    Good stuff as always! My buddy in central cal just paid over $7 per gallon for hight octane! I agree with the above poster and but the tires now and put them on when the other wear out. Do NOT be like me and wait until they are perilously close to failing. Massive mistake I will never make again.

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